Polonia Warszawa vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WDZ
0 - 4
POL
7%
15%
78%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POL
4 - 0
WSI
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LWA
1 - 0
POL
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SOT
0 - 2
POL
7%
16%
78%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
POL
4 - 0
PGM
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
UWA
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UWA
6 - 1
WDZ
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PEL
1 - 2
UWA
57%
24%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
UWA
3 - 0
LWA
34%
23%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +4 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PGM
2 - 1
UWA
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |