Polonia Warszawa vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LTM
0 - 2
POL
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POL
3 - 0
TAR
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 17 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
WSI
85%
12%
4%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
POL
5 - 1
SAL
85%
12%
4%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RAD
2 - 2
POL
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 0
WSI
47%
26%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
SWI
50%
26%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 5
RAD
16%
23%
60%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 3
PBI
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SOT
0 - 1
SWI
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |