Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
OWD
0 - 0
POL
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
POL
1 - 3
CRA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
POL
1 - 2
DYS
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
POL
0 - 0
GKS
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
0 - 1
POL
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
ARK
0 - 0
POG
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
POG
1 - 0
OWD
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 0
POG
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
GÓR
2 - 1
POG
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
POG
1 - 3
DYS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |