Poland U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GRC
1 - 1
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
CRO
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
POL
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NED
3 - 1
POL
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
POL
5 - 0
MLT
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 2
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 3
NED
7%
17%
76%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ISR
2 - 2
LTU
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
CZE
19%
22%
60%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |