Poland U21 vs Hungría Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
3 - 0
BLR
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
UKR
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
NOR
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hungría Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
HUN
4 - 0
LIE
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 5 | 50 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
HUN
23%
25%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HUN
0 - 0
ISR
22%
24%
55%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
HUN
2 - 1
GRC
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
ISR
3 - 0
HUN
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |