Poland U21 vs Azerbaiyán Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
DEU
1 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
WLS
2 - 2
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 3
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
POL
1 - 3
ENG
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Azerbaiyán Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 0
ENG
8%
17%
75%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 2
DEU
8%
16%
77%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
3 - 0
AZE
69%
17%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 1
WLS
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
ITA
6 - 0
AZE
88%
10%
3%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | -1 |