Polonia U21 vs Alemania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
POL
6 - 0
MNE
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
POL
2 - 0
UKR
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
3 - 0
BLR
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
TUR
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 4
GER
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
GER
4 - 3
RUS
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 1
GER
7%
14%
79%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
GER
3 - 0
SVK
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |