Polonia U21 vs Alemania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
AZE
1 - 1
POL
11%
18%
71%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
POL
3 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 2
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 3
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 2
GER
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 4
GER
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
AUT
80%
14%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 2
GER
8%
16%
77%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |