Gornik Polkowice vs Jarota Jarocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornik Polkowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 0
POL
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TKP
0 - 2
POL
18%
22%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
TUR
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RUC
0 - 5
POL
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
RAK
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JAR
1 - 0
TKP
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
JAR
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JAR
0 - 0
RUC
51%
25%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RAK
1 - 1
JAR
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JAR
2 - 1
GOR
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |