Polinya At. vs Lourdes A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polinya At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 4
POL
30%
22%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
POL
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
POL
9 - 1
LCE
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
POL
2 - 0
SFO
24%
20%
55%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lourdes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 4
SMM
67%
17%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
7 - 0
SEN
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 8
LOU
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
LLA
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LCE
0 - 3
LOU
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |