Policia de Lara vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
POL
4 - 0
ATL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
ATL
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
MIN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |