Policia SP vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
1 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
3 - 2
KTM
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 2
MCA
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GLP
5 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 2
MCA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
WAK
1 - 1
MCA
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 2
MCA
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MCA
3 - 0
LLM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |