Policia SP vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
WAK
1 - 0
PSP
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
PSP
0 - 2
FCP
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 0
PSP
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GDA
0 - 2
PSP
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PSP
1 - 1
HFM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
MCA
4 - 1
HFM
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MCA
1 - 1
FCP
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GDA
2 - 2
MCA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KTM
1 - 2
MCA
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MCA
2 - 0
VLM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |