Police XI vs Security Systems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
EAN
1 - 2
POL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 3
TOW
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
POL
43%
23%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 4
GAB
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
GAB
3 - 2
SES
42%
26%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SES
2 - 1
ORA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SES
3 - 2
NIC
57%
21%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SES
2 - 1
MOW
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HGH
0 - 1
SES
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |