Tercera Division IX - Andalusia and Melilla Round 15

Poli Almería vs Real Jaén analysis

Poli Almería Real Jaén
27 ELO 34
-5.6% Tilt -16%
9892º General ELO ranking 5009º
625º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
24.6%
Poli Almería
24.2%
Draw
51.2%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
Poli Almería
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.2%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poli Almería
-42%
-13%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Poli Almería
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poli Almería
Poli Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2021
ALM
Almería B
1 - 0
Poli Almería
POL
81%
13%
7%
25 39 14 0
24 Jan. 2021
POL
Poli Almería
3 - 1
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
51%
23%
26%
24 24 0 +1
17 Jan. 2021
MAR
Maracena
0 - 1
Poli Almería
POL
63%
20%
17%
23 28 5 +1
10 Jan. 2021
TOR
UDC Torredonjimeno
3 - 1
Poli Almería
POL
81%
12%
7%
23 37 14 0
03 Jan. 2021
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Poli Almería
POL
80%
13%
7%
23 38 15 0

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2021
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 4
CD Huétor Tájar
HUE
65%
19%
16%
37 31 6 0
31 Jan. 2021
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 2
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
79%
14%
7%
37 22 15 0
24 Jan. 2021
TOR
UDC Torredonjimeno
3 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
53%
22%
25%
38 38 0 -1
06 Jan. 2021
MAR
Maracena
3 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
24%
25%
51%
39 27 12 -1
03 Jan. 2021
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Poli Almería
POL
80%
13%
7%
38 23 15 +1