Poissy vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
POI
0 - 0
STR
5%
17%
79%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
RAO
0 - 1
POI
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |