Poissy vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 0
POI
60%
22%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
POI
0 - 1
SED
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
POI
0 - 0
FBB
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
SML
0 - 0
POI
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
POI
4 - 2
FUR
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 1
AAC
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 2
ARR
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIL
2 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
STG
2 - 1
ARR
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
SED
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |