Poissy vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
POI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POI
1 - 1
VCH
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 2
POI
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POI
1 - 1
CAL
52%
26%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 0
POI
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
DRA
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
LEN
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
ESW
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |