Pogradeci vs Devolli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
2º
31
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
POG
0 - 3
BYL
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POG
1 - 2
ORI
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
POG
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
POG
1 - 0
TER
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAL
2 - 3
POG
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 2
LAÇ
14%
24%
62%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
DEV
5 - 1
SOP
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
DEV
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 0
LFC
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 0
SOP
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |