GKS Pogon vs Hutnik Krakow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
4º
2º
49
4º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
PGM
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 2
PGM
37%
25%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ZAG
0 - 2
PGM
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PGM
2 - 0
LKS
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 6
PGM
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hutnik Krakow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HUT
2 - 1
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
HUT
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
HUT
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HUT
1 - 1
LKS
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAG
1 - 1
HUT
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |