Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Inhulets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
14º
12º
0
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
13º
|
0 | 61 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 55 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 53 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 46 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 38 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 37 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 31 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 25 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 25 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 45% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
UCS
1 - 0
POK
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
POK
1 - 0
KOL
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
KOL
0 - 2
POK
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
POK
0 - 0
FCD
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
KRE
0 - 2
POK
16%
25%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Inhulets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
INH
0 - 0
BUK
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LNZ
5 - 0
INH
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
INH
1 - 1
VOR
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
INH
1 - 4
SHA
31%
26%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
INH
2 - 1
LIV
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |