Poblense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MNU
2 - 2
PBL
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PBL
1 - 2
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UDA
0 - 2
PBL
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PBL
1 - 0
CFP
61%
23%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CLL
1 - 2
PBL
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MER
7 - 0
CDS
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SRF
1 - 1
MER
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MER
2 - 3
MNU
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 3
MER
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |