Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MLL
1 - 0
PBL
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
PBL
1 - 2
MLL
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PBL
2 - 3
SAL
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 2
PBL
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MLL
4 - 3
PBL
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
ESP
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
FER
13%
20%
68%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
LLO
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |