Championship Round 24

Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City analysis

Plymouth Argyle Swansea City
66 ELO 61
2% Tilt 11.6%
1445º General ELO ranking 1120º
48º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.7%
Plymouth Argyle
19.2%
Draw
18.2%
Swansea City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.1%
Win probability
Swansea City
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
+1%
+12%
Swansea City

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Swansea City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 1960
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
6 - 4
Charlton Athletic
CHA
46%
22%
32%
65 69 4 0
26 Dec. 1960
CHA
Charlton Athletic
6 - 4
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
69%
17%
14%
66 68 2 -1
19 Dec. 1960
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
40%
23%
37%
65 82 17 +1
17 Dec. 1960
STO
Stoke City
9 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
51%
23%
26%
67 62 5 -2
13 Dec. 1960
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
77%
14%
10%
66 81 15 +1

Matches

Swansea City
Swansea City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 1960
OPA
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Swansea City
SWA
61%
20%
20%
62 62 0 0
26 Dec. 1960
SWA
Swansea City
4 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
59%
20%
21%
61 63 2 +1
17 Dec. 1960
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 3
Sunderland
SUN
60%
20%
19%
61 66 5 0
10 Dec. 1960
LIV
Liverpool
4 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
71%
16%
13%
61 77 16 0
26 Nov. 1960
SOU
Southampton
5 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
72%
16%
13%
62 68 6 -1