Championship Round 11

Plymouth Argyle vs Sunderland analysis

Plymouth Argyle Sunderland
63 ELO 75
8.5% Tilt 12.6%
1446º General ELO ranking 682º
48º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
43.1%
Plymouth Argyle
24.5%
Draw
32.4%
Sunderland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
Sunderland
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
-1%
+3%
Sunderland

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Sunderland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1963
CHA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
62%
20%
19%
64 63 1 0
21 Sep. 1963
BCF
Bury
2 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
63%
20%
17%
63 69 6 +1
18 Sep. 1963
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
58%
22%
20%
64 67 3 -1
14 Sep. 1963
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 0
Derby County
DER
60%
21%
19%
64 65 1 0
09 Sep. 1963
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
56%
22%
21%
64 68 4 0

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1963
SUN
Sunderland
3 - 3
Cardiff City
CAR
56%
22%
22%
75 70 5 0
21 Sep. 1963
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
42%
24%
34%
76 68 8 -1
18 Sep. 1963
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 0
Scunthorpe United
SCU
63%
20%
18%
76 65 11 0
14 Sep. 1963
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
51%
22%
27%
75 73 2 +1
09 Sep. 1963
SCU
Scunthorpe United
1 - 1
Sunderland
SUN
40%
25%
35%
75 65 10 0