Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
PLY
1 - 2
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 2
PLY
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
PLY
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 0
YEO
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
PLY
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
STE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
STE
2 - 2
LEY
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
STE
1 - 3
DAG
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STE
1 - 1
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |