Championship Round 11

Plymouth Argyle vs Fulham analysis

Plymouth Argyle Fulham
61 ELO 70
-10.1% Tilt -0.7%
1447º General ELO ranking 77º
48º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Plymouth Argyle
23.9%
Draw
31.4%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
Fulham
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
+1%
-1%
Fulham

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1954
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
74%
15%
11%
60 75 15 0
18 Sep. 1954
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 1
West Ham
WHU
54%
23%
24%
60 63 3 0
15 Sep. 1954
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 3
Notts County
NOT
54%
22%
23%
61 63 2 -1
11 Sep. 1954
DER
Derby County
2 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
72%
16%
12%
60 64 4 +1
09 Sep. 1954
NOT
Notts County
2 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
63%
19%
18%
61 63 2 -1

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1954
FUL
Fulham
2 - 3
Bristol Rovers
BRO
73%
14%
13%
71 66 5 0
18 Sep. 1954
LIV
Liverpool
4 - 1
Fulham
FUL
59%
20%
21%
72 71 1 -1
15 Sep. 1954
DON
Doncaster Rovers
4 - 0
Fulham
FUL
32%
25%
43%
73 60 13 -1
11 Sep. 1954
FUL
Fulham
3 - 1
Notts County
NOT
76%
14%
10%
73 63 10 0
08 Sep. 1954
FUL
Fulham
5 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
DON
79%
13%
9%
72 61 11 +1