Plymouth Argyle vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
2 - 1
DON
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
OPA
2 - 2
PLY
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
PLY
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
3 - 0
SHW
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PLY
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 1
CRE
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 0
BUR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
STF
1 - 1
CRE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
STF
0 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |