Plus Ultra vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
PLU
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PLU
0 - 1
EEP
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
PLU
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PLU
3 - 2
CDB
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ABA
5 - 1
PLU
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
JUM
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
EFA
1 - 0
BAL
72%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
BUL
29%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
BAL
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
CFC
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |