Platense vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2003 |
BRO
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ARQ
0 - 2
PLA
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
ALM
3 - 1
PLA
43%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 3
PLA
34%
28%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
PLA
3 - 0
TIG
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SAR
1 - 0
BRO
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 0
SAR
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SAR
0 - 1
ALM
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |