Platense vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 2
PLA
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 2
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
DEF
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
33%
30%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 1
DEF
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |