Plácido de Castro vs Alto Acre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 0
RIO
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 0
PLA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 1
RIO
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
PLA
25%
23%
53%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Alto Acre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 5
ATL
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 1
GAL
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | +6 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 4
PLA
17%
21%
61%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 3
ALT
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
ALT
65%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |