Plabennec vs Stade Briochin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
31
5º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOC
1 - 2
PLA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USF
4 - 3
PLA
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ERG
1 - 2
PLA
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 2
DOL
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 3
PLA
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Stade Briochin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SBR
3 - 1
DOL
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LAT
3 - 0
SBR
47%
21%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SBR
4 - 2
LAN
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
SBR
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SBR
0 - 0
PON
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |