Plabennec vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
6º
37
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
PLA
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
ERG
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
PLA
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CPB
3 - 1
PLA
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
3 - 1
VAN
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
CPB
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
STA
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
PON
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PON
0 - 2
SBR
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |