Plabennec vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
37
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 2
PLA
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
SPM
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CES
0 - 0
PLA
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 2
PLA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LAT
1 - 0
LAN
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
LAN
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
3 - 4
VIT
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 2
LAN
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
QUE
6%
15%
80%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | +1 |