Plabennec vs La Tour d'Auvergne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
33
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
PLA
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 5
VIT
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 2
DOL
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LAT
4 - 2
USF
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
LAT
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPM
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CES
2 - 0
LAT
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |