Plabennec vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
55.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
PLA
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 2
STR
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 0
PLA
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 1
FCR
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ROD
3 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
GUI
5 - 0
FCG
85%
12%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 0
GUI
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
PFC
72%
19%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COL
0 - 3
GUI
15%
27%
58%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 5
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |