Plabennec vs Granville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
STA
1 - 3
PLA
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
PLA
1 - 0
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CEP
1 - 3
PLA
12%
18%
71%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 2
PLA
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAN
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
OIS
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 0
AGC
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STA
3 - 0
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |