Piteå vs Härnösand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HUD
0 - 1
PIT
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 1
PIT
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PIT
1 - 0
RIK
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
PIT
0 - 2
MSK
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
UIF
2 - 0
PIT
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Härnösand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ANU
3 - 2
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 1
PIT
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MSK
2 - 1
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 1
UIF
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |