Pistoiese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 1
PIS
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
PIS
1 - 2
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
JUS
1 - 0
PIS
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 0
PIS
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 0
PIS
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASL
0 - 1
ARZ
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
ARZ
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASL
0 - 4
PIA
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ASL
3 - 0
OLB
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |