Pisa SC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
PAL
2 - 1
PIS
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 2
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
PIS
5 - 2
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
PAD
3 - 2
PIS
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
VER
2 - 1
MOD
48%
29%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
REG
3 - 1
MOD
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |