Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Pisa SC vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
23.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PIS
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PIS
3 - 0
NOV
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 2
PIS
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PIS
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
ARZ
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 2
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PIS
0 - 3
ARZ
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |