Pirin Razlog vs Velbazhd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 2
PIR
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PIR
6 - 0
HEB
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
KOS
0 - 1
PIR
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
SLI
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAL
3 - 2
PIR
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Velbazhd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 1
VDD
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FKV
1 - 1
VEL
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 2
BEL
15%
24%
61%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BEP
1 - 0
VEL
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 1
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |