Pinkafeld vs Oberwart / Rotenturm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
15º
3º
74
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
PIN
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 3
RIT
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
PIN
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 2
KLI
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 0
ALL
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oberwart / Rotenturm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
OBR
0 - 2
LEI
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 0
OBR
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OBR
2 - 0
ASK
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GUS
1 - 1
OBR
13%
16%
71%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
OBR
1 - 2
RIT
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |