La Piedad vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LAP
3 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LAP
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
LAP
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
LAP
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
4 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |