Picerno vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FBC
1 - 1
PIC
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
CSV
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MDC
2 - 3
PIC
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
NOC
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
CSV
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 1
GEL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 0
GEL
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 0
MDC
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 5
GEL
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |