Philadelphia Union vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
3 - 0
COC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DCU
2 - 1
PHU
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RBN
0 - 2
PHU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
PHU
1 - 0
DCU
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAN
3 - 0
PHU
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 1
HOD
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RSL
2 - 0
NYC
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 2
CFS
45%
24%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
RBN
2 - 1
NYC
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 3
SES
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |