Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RBN
0 - 0
PHU
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 1
PHU
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 2
AFC
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 0
PHU
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SJE
2 - 2
PHU
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CFS
3 - 0
DCU
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 1
RBN
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
CFS
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 2
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 3
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |