Phayao vs Phetchabun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phayao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TAK
0 - 1
PHA
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LWA
2 - 1
PHA
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 4
PHA
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PHA
2 - 1
CHI
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PHI
7 - 0
PHA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Phetchabun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PHE
2 - 1
NAN
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SIN
1 - 0
PHE
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAM
3 - 0
PHE
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PHE
1 - 3
SUK
12%
20%
69%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 4
PHE
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |