Navbahor-Farm vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
10º
9º
41
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor-Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
XOR
1 - 0
PFK
90%
8%
2%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 0
ORO
3%
7%
91%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
DSA
1 - 0
URF
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 3
DSA
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DSA
2 - 0
QOQ
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
TER
1 - 4
DSA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 0
DSA
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |